In 1288, a great civilization was building cathedrals like Chartres. Great Universities were founded like Paris and Oxford. Great Kings ruled like Henry II of England, Frederick Barbarossa of Germany. The invaders of Europe, the Magyars, Saracens had been stopped. Europe was expanding - the first crusade and the establishment of the Kingdom of Jerusalem. The economy of Europe was taking off.
After the pall of the Dark Ages, energy was returning. With this new energy and confidence, the population began to expand.
But in 1348 Europe tipped over starting a crash that unfolded as one of the most terrible socio/economic adjustments ever experienced.
By 1348, the entire financial system was in ruins, war and banditry of the most awful type had become normal. Wages had lagged, the states had become bankrupt. But the wealth had concentrated into a few privates hands. The price of goods had fallen but the price of food and of energy had exploded. In this weakened state, 3 years of cold and rainy summers pushed the people to the limit and in 1348, the plague appear. By 1400 the population of Europe had fallen from 80 to 60 million.
shows us that this crash was not unique and that it is one of a series of several "waves" of growth and collapse that occur in human history. What is happening to us today can be understood in this context. (I summarize his thesis here)
So what is the pattern?
Like all systems, there are long periods of equilibrium. The growing good times of the medieval world gave people confidence. With confidence, the birth rate increased and the population began to rise.
With a rise in population strains app
After the pall of the Dark Ages, energy was returning. With this new energy and confidence, the population began to expand.
But in 1348 Europe tipped over starting a crash that unfolded as one of the most terrible socio/economic adjustments ever experienced.
By 1348, the entire financial system was in ruins, war and banditry of the most awful type had become normal. Wages had lagged, the states had become bankrupt. But the wealth had concentrated into a few privates hands. The price of goods had fallen but the price of food and of energy had exploded. In this weakened state, 3 years of cold and rainy summers pushed the people to the limit and in 1348, the plague appear. By 1400 the population of Europe had fallen from 80 to 60 million.
shows us that this crash was not unique and that it is one of a series of several "waves" of growth and collapse that occur in human history. What is happening to us today can be understood in this context. (I summarize his thesis here)
So what is the pattern?
Like all systems, there are long periods of equilibrium. The growing good times of the medieval world gave people confidence. With confidence, the birth rate increased and the population began to rise.
With a rise in population strains app